With Tivo prepared to offer searchable, downloadable advertising, I wonder if it enhances or detracts from a Google acquisition? In a previous post,
I thought a Tivo-Google marriage made sense because it would offer
Google an easy and relatively inexpensive way to establish a foothold
in the television market. Now, I'm not so sure. If Google is interested
in this market, there are other routes it can take other than spending
$500-million on Tivo. For example, it could sign deals with cablecos
such as Comcast, which appears to be a strong Google ally, to offer
AdSense/keyword advertising on a PVR device. Google could also strike
deals with a DVR makers to produce a low-cost product with Google
AdSense as a built-in feature. As Om Malik
points out in the latest issue of Business 2.0, Google M&A strategy
is focused on technology and people rather than full-fledged companies.
This pretty much eliminates Tivo as a takeover candidate - not even
taking into account the competition it's facing from cablecos,
satellite TV and, increasingly, telcos. A more likley scenario is
Google deals with a wide variety of service providers to create
revenue-sharing advertising opportunities in whiche content and
relevant-based advertising are seamlessly merged. So where does leave
Tivo? I suspect it will carry on with its
throw-spaghetti-at-the-wall-and-see-what-sticks strategy until
something works.
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Monday, November 28
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